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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University0.86+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.58+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.68-2.18vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.02-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.70-1.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.33-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.27-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Washington University0.860.3%1st Place
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5.62University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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2.82University of Wisconsin0.680.2%1st Place
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3.65Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.39Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
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2.09University of Wisconsin1.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Palmer | 25.3% | 26.8% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Mayo | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 18.7% | 32.0% | 31.8% |
| David Meyerson | 20.2% | 22.4% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| David Mirkhaef | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 29.2% | 20.8% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 26.7% | 40.9% |
| Megan Heinzinger | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 24.7% | 28.6% | 25.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 39.9% | 27.7% | 20.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.