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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+4.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+2.95vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.08+5.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.71+4.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+1.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.44vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.05-0.91vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56+0.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.30+1.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.56-5.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.48-2.87vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.96-5.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-2.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College1.9713.2%1st Place
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4.95Boston College2.0214.5%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.084.8%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9313.3%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University0.713.2%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.2%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College0.055.9%1st Place
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10.12Boston University0.563.4%1st Place
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12.55Harvard University-0.301.2%1st Place
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6.79Boston College1.568.5%1st Place
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10.13Boston University0.483.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University0.964.8%1st Place
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12.51Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
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11.02Boston University0.252.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Maks Groom | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 30.5% |
| Nick Budington | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| William Wiegand | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 29.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.