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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+3.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.21vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.08+5.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+3.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+1.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.20+4.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.71+0.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56+0.12vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-4.48vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.05-3.75vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.96-4.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.48-3.83vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.25-3.90vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.30-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Boston College2.0214.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College1.9711.8%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College1.083.7%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.7%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.5%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.186.9%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9311.4%1st Place
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12.41Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University0.713.5%1st Place
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10.12Boston University0.563.6%1st Place
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6.52Boston College1.569.4%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College0.055.9%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University0.964.9%1st Place
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10.17Boston University0.483.1%1st Place
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11.1Boston University0.252.9%1st Place
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12.73Harvard University-0.301.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Alex Abate | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 28.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Nick Budington | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| William Wiegand | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.