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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.27-0.15vs Predicted
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5Washington University1.78-2.75vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.02-1.48vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.33-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.68-4.32vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.58-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Indiana University1.500.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Wisconsin1.270.2%1st Place
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2.25Washington University1.780.3%1st Place
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4.52Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.97Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
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3.68University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 27.2% | 25.2% | 21.8% | 15.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 20.4% | 22.2% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| James Harvey | 34.1% | 29.2% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| David Mirkhaef | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 36.1% | 19.9% | 5.4% |
| Megan Heinzinger | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 36.4% | 40.6% |
| David Meyerson | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 27.1% | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Alex Mayo | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 28.9% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.