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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+5.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.96+5.64vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48+6.23vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.08+3.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.71+3.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05+1.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.97-2.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.55vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.28vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-4.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-4.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.30-0.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.56-3.78vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-2.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Boston College2.0213.7%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.187.3%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University0.964.5%1st Place
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10.23Boston University0.482.6%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College1.085.5%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University0.713.4%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College0.055.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College1.9714.2%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9310.8%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.6%1st Place
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6.76Boston College1.568.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.7%1st Place
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12.7Harvard University-0.302.0%1st Place
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10.22Boston University0.563.5%1st Place
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12.45Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
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11.12Boston University0.252.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nick Budington | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alex Abate | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Lee | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 29.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 28.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.