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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+2.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18+2.72vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+2.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.08+0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.48+1.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96-1.40vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-0.83vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.30+0.70vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-5.54vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.71-4.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-2.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Boston College2.0213.4%1st Place
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5.21Boston College1.9714.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.4%1st Place
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6.84Boston College1.567.5%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.185.9%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College0.056.5%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9312.9%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College1.084.9%1st Place
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10.19Boston University0.483.4%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University0.964.6%1st Place
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10.17Boston University0.562.9%1st Place
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12.7Harvard University-0.301.5%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University0.713.8%1st Place
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12.42Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
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11.27Boston University0.251.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nick Budington | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Maks Groom | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| William Wiegand | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 29.2% |
| Alex Abate | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 27.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.