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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.40+1.02vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67-0.06vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.71+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.74-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.26-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.98-1.60vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.61-3.14vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.31-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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2.94Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.86Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Shankwitz | 42.8% | 28.6% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 19.2% | 22.7% | 25.5% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Ian Walter | 20.5% | 22.5% | 25.3% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Williams | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 26.9% | 16.4% |
| Edward Zelenak | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 21.3% | 11.3% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.