Race 1A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Calvin Schmid 47.4% 29.0% 13.4% 6.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 8.2% 11.8% 14.2% 16.6% 15.4% 12.9% 10.7% 6.6% 3.0% 0.6%
Jasper Waldman 11.8% 16.1% 18.1% 17.7% 15.0% 10.0% 7.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Iain Shand 12.6% 17.4% 18.1% 17.5% 15.4% 9.6% 5.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Julia Priebke 2.1% 2.9% 4.8% 5.0% 7.4% 10.3% 14.0% 18.8% 22.8% 11.9%
Ethan Deutsch 2.9% 2.5% 4.9% 6.5% 7.5% 10.3% 13.3% 16.6% 23.5% 12.0%
Ryan Magill 4.8% 7.0% 8.5% 10.8% 11.5% 16.2% 15.8% 14.2% 9.2% 2.1%
Henry Jensen 2.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 8.3% 10.3% 13.9% 20.1% 20.3% 9.9%
Jonathan Kelly 6.7% 8.4% 11.6% 11.6% 15.3% 16.2% 14.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.2%
Vaughan Hood 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 5.0% 7.8% 14.8% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.