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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.98+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.40-0.92vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.71+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.74-2.14vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.61-1.16vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.67-4.09vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.26-3.13vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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4.97Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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4.84Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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2.91Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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5.87University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Zelenak | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 11.0% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 41.2% | 27.5% | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 6.5% |
| Ian Walter | 21.3% | 23.6% | 24.0% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Davis Carroll | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Theodore Cohen | 19.7% | 24.9% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Williams | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 18.8% |
| Daniel Bartz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.