Race 2A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Calvin Schmid 45.1% 26.8% 16.4% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 13.0% 18.4% 17.4% 15.7% 13.9% 11.7% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Ethan Deutsch 2.6% 3.2% 4.8% 6.0% 6.8% 9.5% 13.9% 19.9% 21.9% 11.4%
Jonathan Kelly 6.7% 6.6% 11.7% 13.8% 15.4% 15.2% 14.5% 9.8% 5.5% 0.9%
Iain Shand 14.2% 18.3% 17.9% 17.1% 13.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Ryan Magill 5.6% 7.0% 8.2% 11.1% 13.0% 14.1% 14.7% 14.4% 9.2% 2.6%
Julia Priebke 1.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.0% 8.1% 9.9% 14.1% 17.2% 24.2% 11.7%
Vaughan Hood 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 5.1% 8.0% 13.8% 62.3%
Michael Stewart 7.8% 11.0% 13.6% 15.2% 15.7% 15.0% 12.0% 5.9% 3.4% 0.5%
Henry Jensen 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 7.0% 8.2% 10.8% 13.7% 19.1% 19.9% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.