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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.74-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.40-2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.04-0.46vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.61-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.98-2.54vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.71-3.93vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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2.05University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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5.54University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.9Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.07Marquette University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 20.6% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 20.2% | 23.3% | 24.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 41.4% | 29.5% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Strieker | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 13.7% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 5.1% |
| Edward Zelenak | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 12.0% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 7.4% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.