Race 3A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Calvin Schmid 45.7% 24.9% 15.7% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 7.8% 11.1% 13.2% 13.9% 14.1% 12.8% 11.5% 9.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Jasper Waldman 11.8% 15.1% 15.7% 16.8% 14.1% 11.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonathan Kelly 6.4% 9.7% 10.4% 11.2% 12.3% 14.1% 13.5% 11.2% 6.9% 3.4% 0.9%
Ryan Magill 4.2% 6.4% 8.5% 8.2% 10.8% 12.0% 13.1% 13.8% 12.7% 7.5% 2.9%
Anish Jayewardene 3.4% 5.5% 6.8% 8.7% 10.4% 10.8% 12.7% 13.5% 15.2% 10.3% 2.8%
Ethan Deutsch 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 10.2% 12.8% 17.3% 21.3% 12.2%
Iain Shand 13.8% 17.5% 15.4% 15.9% 13.0% 10.3% 7.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Henry Jensen 2.0% 3.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.5% 9.4% 10.8% 13.1% 16.0% 18.4% 8.2%
Julia Priebke 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 8.0% 9.7% 12.5% 16.5% 21.1% 11.3%
Vaughan Hood 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 7.4% 15.2% 61.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.