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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.74+1.85vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-1.04+1.50vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.61-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.98-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.40-4.93vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.71-3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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2.99Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.91Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.07University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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5.09Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Walter | 22.6% | 22.6% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 18.8% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Molly Strieker | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 25.6% | 11.6% |
| Davis Carroll | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Edward Zelenak | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 22.0% | 11.4% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 40.0% | 30.3% | 17.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 7.5% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 17.2% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.