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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.02+2.59vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.72+0.42vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-0.42vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.15-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-1.55vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66-1.12vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Salve Regina University0.9711.9%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont-0.0211.9%1st Place
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3.42Bates College0.7220.1%1st Place
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3.58Fairfield University0.4218.9%1st Place
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4.33Maine Maritime Academy0.1512.6%1st Place
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4.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.5%1st Place
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5.88Brandeis University-0.666.3%1st Place
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5.31Middlebury College-0.376.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| William Denker | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Jett Lindelof | 20.1% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.9% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| William Delong | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Myles Hazen | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 35.4% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.