← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.36+1.51vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.08-0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.01+2.24vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.65vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.57-2.25vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.78vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
3.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
2.96Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
-
6.24University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.35University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.22University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
7.05California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 33.2% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 12.1% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 23.0% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 29.0% | 28.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 9.2% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 21.5% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.