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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.40+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.74-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.98+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.19-1.25vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.71-3.02vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.61-4.10vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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2.86University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.9Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 21.2% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 39.6% | 30.7% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 21.8% | 21.3% | 26.6% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Zelenak | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 12.2% |
| Nicholas Searles | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 24.8% | 16.5% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 6.0% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.