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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.40+1.06vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-1.19+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.98+0.40vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.61-2.15vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.71-3.01vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.74-6.08vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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2.98Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.85Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.99Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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7.11University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Shankwitz | 41.8% | 28.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 19.0% | 23.1% | 23.7% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Searles | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 24.6% | 16.6% |
| Edward Zelenak | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 11.4% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 4.4% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 7.1% |
| Ian Walter | 20.5% | 23.6% | 23.7% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 18.7% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.