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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.40+1.01vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.74-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-1.26+0.75vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.61-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.28-2.24vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.71-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-2.31-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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2.93Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.79University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.78Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.95Marquette University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Shankwitz | 43.5% | 28.2% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Cohen | 19.3% | 23.1% | 25.4% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Walter | 21.8% | 24.3% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Williams | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 16.7% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 13.0% | 4.0% |
| John McCormick | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 24.8% | 16.3% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.