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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+3.15vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+0.34vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-0.81vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78-2.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63-0.99vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.22-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15College of Charleston2.2314.2%1st Place
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5.03Jacksonville University1.559.7%1st Place
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3.34University of Miami2.3222.1%1st Place
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4.98Florida State University1.6210.0%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida1.5411.3%1st Place
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5.19University of South Florida1.458.0%1st Place
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4.13North Carolina State University1.7814.6%1st Place
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7.01University of South Carolina0.633.7%1st Place
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6.13The Citadel1.226.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Matthew King | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% |
| Adam Larson | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 40.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.