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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.74+1.79vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.40-0.96vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.71+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.26-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.28-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.31-1.93vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.61-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Wisconsin0.740.2%1st Place
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2.92Washington University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.04University of Wisconsin1.400.4%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
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4.7Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Walter | 21.2% | 27.2% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Theodore Cohen | 19.6% | 21.9% | 26.2% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 42.3% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 6.2% |
| Kyle Williams | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 26.3% | 14.1% |
| John McCormick | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 25.3% | 15.7% |
| Daniel Bartz | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 19.6% | 58.8% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.