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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+3.12vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+1.33vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+4.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.54+1.57vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13+1.69vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.67+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo0.20-1.65vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.40-3.21vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.43-1.95vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.70-2.21vs Predicted
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12Denison University0.36-5.83vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.02-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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3.33Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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7.23Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.69Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.84Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.79Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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8.05Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.79Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.17Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Michigan-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 16.0% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Floyd | 23.4% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Andrew Rush | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 25.8% |
| Colin Mackay | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Evan Rodgers | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Sackett | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% |
| Chloe Beck | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 24.8% |
| Grant Lorimer | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Tanner DePriest | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.