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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32-0.82vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78-0.94vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.20-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-0.24vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23-4.01vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.22-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Florida State University1.6210.1%1st Place
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4.85University of South Florida1.5410.2%1st Place
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5.67University of South Florida1.196.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Miami2.3224.6%1st Place
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4.06North Carolina State University1.7815.4%1st Place
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5.75Jacksonville University1.207.3%1st Place
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6.76University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston2.2315.4%1st Place
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5.98The Citadel1.227.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joey Meagher | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
Eden Nykamp | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
Humberto Porrata | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
Atlee Kohl | 24.6% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Adam Larson | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
Brent Penwarden | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
Ian Street | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 34.4% |
Brandon Geller | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
Gregory Walters | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.