← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University-0.70+7.72vs Predicted
-
2Denison University1.46+1.33vs Predicted
-
3Denison University0.36+2.90vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.05vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University-0.43+2.96vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan0.59-0.69vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University1.14-3.10vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo0.20-1.73vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-0.83-0.12vs Predicted
-
11Ohio State University0.54-5.66vs Predicted
-
13Miami University-0.67-4.23vs Predicted
-
14Ohio University0.13-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.72Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
3.33Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
-
5.9Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
-
7.05Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.96Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.31University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.9Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
-
6.27University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
-
8.88Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.34Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
-
8.77Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.57Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Beck | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 22.2% |
| William Floyd | 23.2% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lorimer | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Joel Florek | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Taylor Sackett | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% |
| Jason Doyle | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Devin Copfer | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colin Mackay | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 23.5% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.