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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+1.87vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23-0.05vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62-0.24vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.20-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-0.17vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22-2.10vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of South Florida1.196.6%1st Place
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3.22University of Miami2.3223.8%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida1.5411.1%1st Place
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3.95College of Charleston2.2315.1%1st Place
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4.76Florida State University1.6212.4%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University1.207.6%1st Place
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6.83University of South Carolina0.633.0%1st Place
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5.9The Citadel1.226.2%1st Place
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4.12North Carolina State University1.7814.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.8% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 12.8% |
| Ian Street | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 34.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| Adam Larson | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.