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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University1.46+2.33vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.54+3.45vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.99vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.14-1.05vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.67+2.64vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.70+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.59-2.79vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.83-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo0.20-3.74vs Predicted
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11Denison University0.36-5.12vs Predicted
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13Ohio University-0.43-4.87vs Predicted
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14Ohio University0.13-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.45Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.99Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.95Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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8.64Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.71Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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8.87Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.88Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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8.13Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.57Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 24.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Joel Florek | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Devin Copfer | 16.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 20.9% |
| Chloe Beck | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 22.2% |
| Jason Doyle | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 26.8% |
| Colin Mackay | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Sackett | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.