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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Brent Penwarden 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 10.7% 12.7% 14.4% 15.0% 13.7%
Brandon Geller 15.8% 16.2% 15.4% 13.4% 12.3% 11.5% 8.9% 4.2% 2.1%
Humberto Porrata 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 10.1% 11.2% 12.0% 13.9% 16.6% 14.8%
Joey Meagher 10.7% 11.9% 12.6% 12.4% 11.8% 12.4% 11.2% 11.5% 5.5%
Atlee Kohl 24.6% 19.1% 16.4% 13.2% 11.2% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Eden Nykamp 10.0% 11.5% 10.5% 12.6% 11.3% 11.7% 14.0% 10.7% 7.7%
Gregory Walters 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 8.9% 9.8% 11.8% 13.3% 18.1% 17.9%
Ian Street 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 9.4% 11.8% 15.8% 35.9%
Adam Larson 14.6% 15.2% 16.2% 13.7% 14.4% 10.8% 7.5% 5.7% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.