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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+6.25vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.14+2.05vs Predicted
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3Denison University1.46+0.33vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.70+4.88vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.40+0.91vs Predicted
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6Denison University0.36+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.02-0.01vs Predicted
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8Miami University-0.67+0.67vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.54-3.60vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-0.43-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of Toledo0.20-6.38vs Predicted
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14Ohio University0.13-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.05Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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3.33Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.88Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.91Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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6.06Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Michigan-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.67Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.4Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.1Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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6.73Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Devin Copfer | 16.7% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 24.9% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Beck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 25.2% |
| Evan Rodgers | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Tanner DePriest | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 25.4% |
| Andrew Rush | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% |
| Colin Mackay | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.