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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.20+4.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.76vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-1.05vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63-1.23vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Jacksonville University1.207.7%1st Place
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3.94College of Charleston2.2315.8%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
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4.75Florida State University1.6210.7%1st Place
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3.25University of Miami2.3224.6%1st Place
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4.95University of South Florida1.5410.0%1st Place
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5.98The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
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6.77University of South Carolina0.634.2%1st Place
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4.0North Carolina State University1.7814.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Brent Penwarden | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
Brandon Geller | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
Joey Meagher | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
Atlee Kohl | 24.6% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Eden Nykamp | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 35.9% |
Adam Larson | 14.6% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.