← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.54+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.62+2.77vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.23+1.00vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.78+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.19+0.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.32-2.79vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.63-0.21vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel1.22-2.04vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.20-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89University of South Florida1.548.9%1st Place
-
4.77Florida State University1.6211.3%1st Place
-
4.0College of Charleston2.2314.8%1st Place
-
4.04North Carolina State University1.7816.1%1st Place
-
5.73University of South Florida1.196.9%1st Place
-
3.21University of Miami2.3225.4%1st Place
-
6.79University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
-
5.96The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
-
5.61Jacksonville University1.207.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eden Nykamp | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
Joey Meagher | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
Brandon Geller | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Adam Larson | 16.1% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
Humberto Porrata | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 15.7% |
Atlee Kohl | 25.4% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Ian Street | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 35.1% |
Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 18.0% |
Brent Penwarden | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.