← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Toledo0.20+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Denison University1.46+1.34vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.05+4.20vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-0.70+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University1.14-0.92vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.54-0.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-0.02-0.07vs Predicted
-
9Ohio University-0.43-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Hope College0.40-4.25vs Predicted
-
11Denison University0.36-5.04vs Predicted
-
12Miami University-0.67-3.02vs Predicted
-
14Ohio University0.13-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.34Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
-
7.2Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
-
8.91Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
4.08Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
-
5.54Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of Michigan-0.020.1%1st Place
-
8.07Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.75Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
-
5.96Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
-
8.98Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.7Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| William Floyd | 23.2% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Chloe Beck | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 25.5% |
| Devin Copfer | 17.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rush | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Tanner DePriest | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 27.8% |
| Abby Freeman | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.