← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.57+2.70vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.36+0.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.08-0.98vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.25vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.67vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.80vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.7University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
2.58University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.02Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
-
6.25University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.33University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.2University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.8% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 31.0% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 22.3% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 31.4% | 27.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 8.8% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.