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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.02+2.54vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-0.54vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.70vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66-1.09vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Salve Regina University0.9711.8%1st Place
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4.54University of Vermont-0.0212.0%1st Place
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3.47Bates College0.7220.2%1st Place
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3.63Fairfield University0.4218.6%1st Place
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4.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.1%1st Place
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4.3Maine Maritime Academy0.1512.9%1st Place
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5.91Brandeis University-0.665.5%1st Place
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5.26Middlebury College-0.378.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| William Denker | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 20.2% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| William Delong | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 34.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.