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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University1.46+2.28vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.70+6.70vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.14+0.96vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.59+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.20-0.63vs Predicted
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8Denison University0.36-2.20vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.83-0.11vs Predicted
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10Ohio University0.13-3.63vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.43-3.05vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.54-6.41vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.67-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Denison University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.7Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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3.96Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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7.04Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.8Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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8.89Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.37Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.95Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.59Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.73Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 24.0% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Beck | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 20.1% |
| Devin Copfer | 18.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joel Florek | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Jason Doyle | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Colin Mackay | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Grant Lorimer | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 28.5% |
| Abby Freeman | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Andrew Rush | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.