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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.99vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+1.92vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32-3.65vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-3.15vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.22-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99College of Charleston2.2316.1%1st Place
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4.16North Carolina State University1.7814.1%1st Place
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5.04University of South Florida1.549.5%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
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4.8Florida State University1.6211.1%1st Place
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6.86University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Miami2.3222.1%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University1.5510.2%1st Place
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6.03The Citadel1.226.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Brandon Geller | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
Adam Larson | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
Eden Nykamp | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
Joey Meagher | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
Ian Street | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 37.1% |
Atlee Kohl | 22.1% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Matthew King | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
Gregory Walters | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.