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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+2.03vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+1.86vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+0.22vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13North Carolina State University1.7816.4%1st Place
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4.03College of Charleston2.2317.0%1st Place
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4.84Jacksonville University1.559.7%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida1.5410.8%1st Place
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6.86University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
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6.22The Citadel1.224.3%1st Place
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4.88Florida State University1.629.8%1st Place
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5.82University of South Florida1.196.7%1st Place
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3.3University of Miami2.3221.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Matthew King | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 36.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.9% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.