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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+3.05vs Predicted
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2Denison University0.36+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.59+2.27vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13+1.59vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.54-0.53vs Predicted
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7Denison University1.46-3.73vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.43-0.13vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.05vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.70-1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo0.20-4.73vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.83-2.91vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.67-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Ohio State University1.140.2%1st Place
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5.87Denison University0.360.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan0.590.1%1st Place
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6.59Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.47Ohio State University0.540.1%1st Place
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3.27Denison University1.460.3%1st Place
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7.87Ohio University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.95Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Miami University-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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9.09Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.67Miami University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Lorimer | 6.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jason Doyle | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Abby Freeman | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Rush | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| William Floyd | 25.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Sackett | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% |
| Joel Florek | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Chloe Beck | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 20.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 27.0% |
| Elliot Corrigon | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.