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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+3.38vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.53+4.53vs Predicted
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3Denison University0.59+0.75vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.91-0.90vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.13+3.13vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.67+0.93vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-1.95vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.10-0.05vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.56-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-1.17-2.89vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.83-4.57vs Predicted
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13Denison University-0.88-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.53Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.75Denison University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.1Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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8.13Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Michigan-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.05Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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7.95Ohio University-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.13Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Toledo-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.43Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.52Denison University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jake Riedy | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Emily Shane | 20.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 25.4% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Werley | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| Connor Shope | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Henley | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Evans | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 26.1% |
| Paul Guentert | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Lia Windt | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.