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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.71vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+1.32vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62-0.51vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71College of Charleston2.2316.4%1st Place
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3.91North Carolina State University1.7815.6%1st Place
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3.15University of Miami2.3223.4%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida1.197.0%1st Place
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4.49Florida State University1.6211.2%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University1.5511.7%1st Place
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6.18University of South Carolina0.634.5%1st Place
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4.71University of South Florida1.5410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 16.4% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Adam Larson | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.4% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Matthew King | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% |
| Ian Street | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 40.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.