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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+3.39vs Predicted
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2Denison University0.59+1.72vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+2.11vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.53+2.55vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.13+3.10vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.88+1.51vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.83-0.81vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.91-5.90vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.10-2.04vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.67-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of Toledo-1.17-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.72Denison University0.590.2%1st Place
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5.11Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.55Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.1Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.51Denison University-0.880.0%1st Place
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7.19Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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3.1Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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7.96Ohio University-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.07Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Michigan-0.670.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Toledo-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 14.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Shane | 17.3% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jake Riedy | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Werley | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.7% |
| Lia Windt | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.5% | 22.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Evans | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.7% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 27.4% |
| Connor Shope | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Paul Guentert | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.