Race 3B

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Gilbertson 26.1% 21.7% 20.0% 12.4% 8.7% 5.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
David Aspery 14.8% 16.0% 13.8% 16.2% 10.0% 11.2% 7.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Henley 12.1% 9.1% 14.0% 12.1% 12.3% 11.1% 12.3% 9.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Jake Riedy 4.8% 6.6% 9.1% 10.0% 11.1% 11.1% 12.0% 10.0% 10.9% 9.3% 3.7% 1.4%
Lia Windt 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.9% 9.9% 9.6% 13.7% 11.2% 11.6% 10.4% 2.9%
Emily Shane 18.4% 21.8% 14.5% 13.6% 11.8% 8.2% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Evans 4.4% 3.7% 4.0% 6.2% 8.8% 8.3% 9.2% 11.6% 13.0% 13.5% 12.1% 5.2%
Braden Engstrom 5.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.5% 9.2% 8.9% 11.2% 11.2% 13.6% 10.6% 6.6% 2.7%
Paul Guentert 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 11.1% 10.6% 13.2% 14.7% 14.5% 3.6%
Samuel Werley 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 6.6% 8.9% 9.2% 11.0% 14.1% 14.4% 13.4% 4.5%
Patrick Wolff 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.7% 3.9% 6.4% 6.7% 10.1% 11.6% 15.3% 23.9% 11.8%
Mitchell Gage 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.4% 2.3% 5.0% 14.2% 67.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.