← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.23+2.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.55+1.44vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.19+1.36vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University1.62-0.58vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.78-2.15vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.54-2.29vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina0.63-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79College of Charleston2.2316.0%1st Place
-
3.19University of Miami2.3223.7%1st Place
-
4.44Jacksonville University1.5511.9%1st Place
-
5.36University of South Florida1.196.0%1st Place
-
4.42Florida State University1.6211.4%1st Place
-
3.85North Carolina State University1.7817.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
-
6.24University of South Carolina0.634.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.7% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew King | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Adam Larson | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Ian Street | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.