← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.34+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.91+0.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.78+3.80vs Predicted
-
4Denison University0.59-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Miami University-0.53+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-1.13+1.69vs Predicted
-
7Denison University-0.88-0.09vs Predicted
-
9Ohio University-1.56-0.42vs Predicted
-
10Ohio University-1.10-2.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Toledo-1.17-4.34vs Predicted
-
13Michigan Technological University0.01-8.04vs Predicted
-
14Hope College-2.96-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
2.99Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
-
6.8University of Michigan-0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.58Denison University0.590.2%1st Place
-
6.17Miami University-0.530.1%1st Place
-
7.69Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.91Denison University-0.880.0%1st Place
-
8.58Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
-
7.48Ohio University-1.100.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of Toledo-1.170.0%1st Place
-
4.96Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
11.03Hope College-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 26.7% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Engstrom | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Emily Shane | 19.3% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Riedy | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Werley | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Lia Windt | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 10.7% |
| Hannah Evans | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 3.3% |
| Paul Guentert | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Gage | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.