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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.83vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+1.22vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78-2.11vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83College of Charleston2.2314.6%1st Place
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4.43Florida State University1.6212.4%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University1.5511.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Miami2.3225.6%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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3.89North Carolina State University1.7815.0%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida1.197.5%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida1.549.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 14.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Matthew King | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 10.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 25.6% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Ian Street | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 43.5% |
| Adam Larson | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 20.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.