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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.82vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+2.49vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.32vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82College of Charleston2.2315.4%1st Place
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4.49Jacksonville University1.5511.1%1st Place
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4.49Florida State University1.6210.8%1st Place
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3.06University of Miami2.3226.4%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida1.197.4%1st Place
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3.9North Carolina State University1.7814.6%1st Place
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6.33University of South Carolina0.633.0%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida1.5411.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 15.4% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 26.4% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
| Adam Larson | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Ian Street | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 42.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.