Race 5B

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Aspery 12.7% 12.3% 15.9% 14.1% 12.7% 11.0% 7.9% 5.7% 3.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Martijn Bosma 26.2% 25.0% 16.9% 12.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Gilbertson 24.2% 20.3% 17.7% 14.3% 9.7% 8.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Henley 7.4% 10.6% 12.5% 13.4% 12.8% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 5.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Connor Shope 4.7% 4.9% 7.0% 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 11.6% 11.5% 9.9% 10.6% 8.2% 5.5%
Jake Riedy 5.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 10.8% 11.3% 13.0% 9.8% 9.1% 7.2% 2.7%
Paul Guentert 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 4.9% 8.3% 5.8% 9.5% 8.8% 12.8% 12.3% 11.9% 15.5%
Lia Windt 4.9% 4.1% 5.6% 7.3% 7.5% 8.9% 9.9% 10.5% 10.9% 12.4% 10.3% 7.7%
Russell Fyfe 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 5.0% 7.7% 7.7% 9.6% 10.7% 11.5% 11.8% 14.1% 12.9%
Samuel Werley 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.2% 9.0% 8.0% 10.1% 13.3% 11.3% 14.1% 13.0%
Patrick Wolff 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.5% 12.6% 15.9% 29.8%
Hannah Evans 3.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.3% 9.9% 12.1% 12.3% 15.3% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.