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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University1.08+1.93vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.41vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+0.19vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.13+4.12vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.01+0.22vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.53+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.17+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.67-1.21vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.15-0.96vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.10-2.03vs Predicted
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12Denison University-0.88-4.42vs Predicted
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14Ohio University-1.56-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Denison University1.080.3%1st Place
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4.41Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.19Ohio State University0.910.2%1st Place
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8.12Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.22Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.52Miami University-0.530.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Toledo-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Michigan-0.670.1%1st Place
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8.04Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.97Ohio University-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.58Denison University-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.18Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martijn Bosma | 26.5% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 22.9% | 22.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Werley | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Jacob Henley | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jake Riedy | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Paul Guentert | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Connor Shope | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Russell Fyfe | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% |
| Hannah Evans | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% |
| Lia Windt | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.