Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nathan Sih 7.6% 9.2% 8.7% 7.9% 9.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 7.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.2%
William Bedford 5.0% 5.4% 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.7% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 5.1%
Mason Stang 12.8% 11.7% 11.2% 9.0% 10.0% 8.9% 8.0% 8.3% 6.5% 4.6% 3.2% 2.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Leyton Borcherding 10.1% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.0% 7.4% 6.5% 5.9% 5.6% 4.2% 3.1% 3.1% 1.1%
Mateo Farina 12.0% 11.7% 10.7% 11.3% 9.1% 8.9% 8.0% 7.0% 5.9% 5.6% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Connor Macken 6.4% 6.0% 5.8% 7.0% 6.7% 7.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
Liam Gronda 1.8% 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 5.1% 6.1% 9.7% 12.8% 33.1%
Nicholas Hurley 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 8.3%
William George 4.0% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5% 8.2% 10.1% 7.8%
Bryan Trammell 6.3% 4.9% 5.7% 7.4% 6.6% 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 7.7% 7.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 5.7%
Connor Rosow 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 5.2% 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.9% 5.6%
Alex Adams 8.6% 7.4% 8.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9%
Aili Moffet 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 6.7% 6.2% 9.5% 10.2% 14.0% 17.9%
Matthew Wallace 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 7.4% 6.6% 4.1%
Clark Morris 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 7.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 6.8% 4.8% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.