← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.34+3.45vs Predicted
-
2Denison University1.08+0.92vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.91+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.01+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University-1.10+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-1.13+2.15vs Predicted
-
7Denison University-0.88+0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-1.17+0.13vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-0.78-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-0.90-2.51vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-0.53-4.26vs Predicted
-
14Ohio University-1.56-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
2.92Denison University1.080.3%1st Place
-
3.18Ohio State University0.910.2%1st Place
-
5.24Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
8.05Ohio University-1.100.0%1st Place
-
8.15Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.32Denison University-0.880.0%1st Place
-
8.13University of Toledo-1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.11University of Michigan-0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.49Hope College-0.900.0%1st Place
-
6.74Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
9.21Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 13.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Martijn Bosma | 27.2% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 24.5% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Henley | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Evans | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| Samuel Werley | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| Lia Windt | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Paul Guentert | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Braden Engstrom | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Katrina Bulthuis | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Jake Riedy | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.