Race 8B

buckeye-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Martijn Bosma 26.5% 21.9% 21.0% 12.7% 7.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Aspery 12.2% 13.8% 15.9% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 9.2% 6.2% 2.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Adam Gilbertson 22.9% 22.8% 15.2% 14.2% 10.8% 7.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Paul Guentert 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 4.7% 6.1% 8.2% 9.4% 9.0% 11.6% 12.6% 14.0% 15.4%
Jacob Henley 9.5% 9.8% 11.7% 13.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.0% 8.5% 7.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3%
Hannah Evans 3.1% 2.7% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 10.6% 13.0% 11.8% 14.4% 13.6%
Lia Windt 4.3% 5.0% 4.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.7% 9.8% 11.3% 10.3% 12.4% 9.7% 8.4%
Braden Engstrom 5.0% 4.7% 5.8% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 10.5% 12.5% 11.5% 8.7% 7.1%
Katrina Bulthuis 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 6.7% 9.3% 9.0% 12.1% 12.0% 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 6.7%
Jake Riedy 6.6% 5.4% 7.4% 9.1% 8.5% 12.1% 11.2% 11.2% 9.8% 8.5% 6.7% 3.5%
Samuel Werley 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 7.2% 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 12.5% 13.0% 14.1% 15.5%
Patrick Wolff 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 1.5% 4.6% 4.0% 5.9% 9.0% 9.4% 11.9% 17.6% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.