Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alex Adams 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 7.5% 8.2% 7.5% 8.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 4.5% 5.2% 3.7% 2.3%
Bryan Trammell 5.7% 4.7% 6.7% 5.5% 8.2% 6.2% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.3% 6.7% 5.0%
Nathan Sih 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 9.3% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.3% 7.6% 6.7% 5.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
Mateo Farina 11.7% 11.8% 10.0% 10.4% 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 7.5% 6.4% 5.9% 4.0% 3.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.4%
William Bedford 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.8%
Nicholas Hurley 5.1% 5.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 7.8% 6.7% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 9.3%
William George 5.0% 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 5.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 7.2%
Leyton Borcherding 8.8% 9.1% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 6.3% 5.3% 4.0% 3.6% 2.6% 1.2%
Matthew Wallace 4.9% 6.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 7.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.7% 6.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5%
Liam Gronda 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 8.0% 8.6% 14.4% 30.2%
Mason Stang 14.6% 12.3% 11.3% 10.8% 9.2% 8.2% 7.3% 6.2% 5.6% 4.5% 3.5% 2.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Connor Macken 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.7% 7.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 7.0% 5.5%
Aili Moffet 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 5.2% 4.7% 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.4% 9.1% 14.0% 18.9%
Connor Rosow 5.7% 5.6% 5.2% 5.0% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 4.8%
Clark Morris 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.