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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.72+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.72vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 32.6% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 22.6% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 8.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Keely Scates | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 30.4% | 29.3% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 23.7% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.