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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+3.51vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.50vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.60vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42-1.38vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.75vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Salve Regina University0.9711.1%1st Place
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5.32Middlebury College-0.377.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.6%1st Place
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3.4Bates College0.7220.7%1st Place
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3.62Fairfield University0.4218.3%1st Place
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4.25Maine Maritime Academy0.1513.6%1st Place
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5.86Brandeis University-0.666.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Vermont-0.0211.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 21.8% |
| William Delong | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 20.7% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.3% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 34.8% |
| William Denker | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.