Race 1A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 18.3% 16.8% 17.9% 13.1% 12.2% 9.2% 5.6% 3.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 14.2% 14.5% 14.5% 14.1% 10.3% 11.6% 8.0% 7.1% 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 9.1% 7.6% 8.8% 12.7% 8.6% 10.7% 13.0% 12.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 7.5% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 11.6% 11.2% 11.4% 10.4% 7.5% 6.2% 3.4% 0.3%
Devon Rohde 6.4% 5.9% 8.3% 7.5% 11.8% 10.1% 10.5% 11.1% 12.5% 8.1% 7.0% 0.8%
Sean Willerford 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 6.1% 4.3% 7.4% 9.7% 13.5% 17.7% 22.9% 5.8%
Evan Read 17.2% 17.3% 14.3% 13.1% 11.3% 10.0% 6.6% 5.8% 2.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Brendan Cook 15.4% 14.5% 12.6% 10.9% 12.3% 10.5% 8.7% 7.0% 4.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
William Dykes 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 10.1% 13.3% 19.4% 23.9% 7.1%
Alex Dion 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 1.3% 1.6% 3.9% 8.8% 78.2%
Christian Houston-Floyd 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 8.1% 10.9% 12.5% 15.5% 13.4% 9.2% 2.2%
Andrew Morgan 2.9% 3.7% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 7.3% 7.8% 9.5% 14.2% 18.6% 20.6% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.