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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+9.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+4.23vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.87+6.22vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56+6.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.57vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.97+2.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34-1.65vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45+0.52vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48+1.07vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.21-1.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-0.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-5.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-5.15vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.22vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-7.65vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.29-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35Harvard University2.083.7%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.4212.1%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College1.875.1%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University2.6111.6%1st Place
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11.41University of Pennsylvania1.563.2%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University1.975.3%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.347.8%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston1.454.9%1st Place
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12.07Bowdoin College1.482.6%1st Place
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10.23Tulane University2.213.8%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University1.252.5%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.2%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.5%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.9%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University1.705.0%1st Place
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9.48Brown University2.294.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 21.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.