Race 2A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 19.0% 16.1% 15.7% 14.0% 12.9% 9.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.3% 10.1% 8.7% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.0% 11.1% 9.0% 5.9% 2.9% 0.3%
Charles Proctor 10.1% 7.2% 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 10.7% 13.9% 10.8% 9.5% 5.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Sean Willerford 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 9.5% 13.7% 18.8% 22.2% 5.6%
Andrew Morgan 2.1% 3.6% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 6.1% 7.9% 10.3% 13.1% 17.4% 21.5% 4.5%
Devon Rohde 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.5% 13.6% 12.9% 10.3% 5.1% 0.5%
Brendan Cook 13.6% 14.6% 13.8% 11.1% 14.2% 8.9% 9.3% 6.7% 5.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Bryce Kopp 16.7% 14.6% 12.8% 11.7% 10.9% 11.9% 8.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Christian Houston-Floyd 3.8% 5.0% 5.1% 9.3% 7.0% 10.9% 11.2% 12.2% 13.6% 12.6% 8.0% 1.3%
Evan Read 16.2% 16.6% 16.1% 13.2% 11.6% 9.9% 6.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Dion 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 3.9% 9.1% 79.3%
William Dykes 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.4% 3.7% 5.1% 6.4% 8.9% 11.9% 19.5% 26.6% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.