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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+6.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+7.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+2.88vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+5.31vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.97+4.44vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.08+4.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-2.73vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-0.83vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21-0.91vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.52vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.56-1.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-2.23vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.45-4.25vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-6.14vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-7.14vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.25-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Boston College2.349.2%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.294.5%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University2.6111.8%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College1.875.6%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University1.975.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.084.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.164.2%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.4210.5%1st Place
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9.17Cornell University1.704.9%1st Place
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10.09Tulane University2.214.7%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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11.42University of Pennsylvania1.563.6%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College1.482.5%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston1.454.2%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.0%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.4%1st Place
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12.89Tufts University1.252.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.