Race 3A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 18.9% 15.8% 15.9% 16.0% 11.2% 9.7% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3%
Bryce Kopp 13.5% 15.0% 14.4% 13.3% 11.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 9.5% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2% 9.8% 14.0% 10.7% 11.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.3%
Charles Proctor 6.6% 10.3% 9.8% 11.0% 11.9% 11.2% 11.3% 8.9% 9.1% 7.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Brendan Cook 13.6% 13.3% 12.7% 12.4% 12.5% 11.4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.4% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Devon Rohde 5.7% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.5% 11.2% 11.6% 10.5% 14.0% 9.4% 5.7% 0.7%
Sean Willerford 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1% 5.8% 5.2% 7.5% 11.1% 12.7% 16.1% 22.7% 5.7%
Evan Read 19.1% 15.7% 13.9% 12.7% 11.3% 9.0% 7.4% 6.1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Christian Houston-Floyd 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 10.2% 12.0% 13.7% 12.7% 12.2% 8.0% 1.3%
William Dykes 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 3.1% 5.1% 6.0% 8.6% 12.3% 19.0% 26.7% 7.4%
Alex Dion 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 2.6% 4.3% 8.9% 78.7%
Andrew Morgan 3.0% 3.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 7.0% 7.1% 10.9% 12.5% 18.7% 21.6% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.