← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+5.15vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.29+7.34vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+7.47vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.08+6.18vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.97+4.25vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.42+0.25vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.34+0.24vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.20-0.44vs Predicted
-
92.13+1.06vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.31vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.21-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.48+0.07vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.70-3.75vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.30vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.09vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.87-6.41vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.25-4.02vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston1.45-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.15Stanford University2.6110.8%1st Place
-
9.34Brown University2.295.3%1st Place
-
10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.164.9%1st Place
-
10.18Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
-
9.25Jacksonville University1.974.9%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
-
7.24Boston College2.349.3%1st Place
-
7.56Georgetown University2.208.1%1st Place
-
10.062.134.0%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
-
10.62Tulane University2.213.5%1st Place
-
12.07Bowdoin College1.482.0%1st Place
-
9.25Cornell University1.705.2%1st Place
-
10.7University of Pennsylvania1.724.2%1st Place
-
9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.7%1st Place
-
9.59Dartmouth College1.875.3%1st Place
-
12.98Tufts University1.252.1%1st Place
-
10.69College of Charleston1.453.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
Charlotte Rose | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Piper Holthus | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Dana Haig | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Ellie Maus | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% |
Brooke Shachoy | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
Torrey Chisari | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
Madison Bashaw | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
Gray Hemans | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
Abbie Carlson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 24.2% |
Grace Squires | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.