Race 1B

chris-loder

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Weigel 25.6% 21.8% 17.1% 14.0% 9.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Cefali 7.1% 9.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 12.7% 12.3% 9.5% 9.3% 4.3% 3.2% 0.3%
Alexander Giordano 9.7% 8.5% 11.4% 10.4% 10.5% 12.4% 11.4% 11.7% 6.9% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Hunter Johnstone 18.9% 19.2% 17.5% 13.6% 11.6% 8.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 9.0% 9.1% 9.8% 9.7% 13.1% 12.5% 9.9% 9.0% 8.6% 5.6% 3.3% 0.4%
Philip Koch 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 6.5% 7.9% 11.4% 13.1% 13.9% 12.0% 8.6% 2.4%
Henry O'Brien 8.3% 11.2% 8.7% 11.4% 12.2% 10.4% 12.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7%
Jesse Thomas 9.1% 8.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 11.6% 10.1% 10.2% 11.8% 6.4% 3.9% 1.2%
Ann Sager 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.7% 7.0% 9.7% 9.3% 17.0% 25.6% 14.5%
Michael Haidar 0.6% 0.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.9% 9.5% 13.5% 58.7%
Robert Queisser 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.8% 11.1% 18.2% 20.7% 14.5%
Alexander Strothe 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 4.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 11.6% 14.2% 15.5% 16.6% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.