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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+6.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+8.32vs Predicted
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32.13+7.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+4.43vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+4.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+5.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+5.08vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87+0.50vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-4.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.53vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.96vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-6.28vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.97-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.16vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-7.81vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.45-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Boston College2.348.0%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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10.022.134.2%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.4211.9%1st Place
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9.43Brown University2.295.0%1st Place
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10.28Tulane University2.213.9%1st Place
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12.07Bowdoin College1.482.8%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University1.252.1%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College1.875.2%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.6113.2%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.3%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.163.4%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.207.3%1st Place
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9.57Jacksonville University1.975.5%1st Place
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10.84University of Pennsylvania1.723.5%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University1.705.0%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston1.454.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 23.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.