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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+9.37vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+5.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+7.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.41vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+4.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+3.51vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61-1.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+1.37vs Predicted
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92.13+0.99vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.97-0.39vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.35vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-1.73vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.42-8.65vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.25-4.23vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.37Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College2.347.4%1st Place
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10.5College of Charleston1.454.3%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy2.164.5%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.705.6%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College1.875.5%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University2.6112.9%1st Place
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9.37Brown University2.294.7%1st Place
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9.992.134.3%1st Place
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9.61Jacksonville University1.975.5%1st Place
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10.4Tulane University2.213.8%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania1.723.3%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.2%1st Place
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12.27Bowdoin College1.483.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.4210.7%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University1.251.8%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.207.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 17.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 21.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.