Race 2B

chris-loder

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry O'Brien 7.9% 8.2% 9.9% 9.2% 12.2% 11.5% 12.5% 12.7% 7.2% 5.4% 3.1% 0.2%
Lauren Cefali 7.2% 10.6% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3% 12.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Hunter Johnstone 21.0% 18.2% 16.4% 13.5% 10.3% 9.3% 5.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Philip Koch 3.6% 5.0% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 12.3% 10.7% 14.1% 11.1% 8.7% 2.9%
Conor Fowler 8.1% 9.6% 10.7% 11.6% 10.7% 10.8% 10.6% 9.0% 8.9% 6.0% 3.6% 0.4%
Ann Sager 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 12.0% 16.3% 24.8% 17.1%
Ben Weigel 27.8% 23.0% 14.7% 13.5% 7.4% 7.1% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 8.1% 7.9% 9.2% 11.3% 9.8% 9.1% 11.6% 10.6% 9.7% 6.9% 4.7% 1.1%
Alexander Strothe 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.9% 7.4% 7.3% 10.5% 10.9% 13.7% 16.9% 14.2% 4.7%
Alexander Giordano 9.3% 8.9% 12.4% 11.2% 11.7% 10.9% 10.4% 11.1% 7.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Robert Queisser 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.4% 9.1% 11.4% 18.9% 20.0% 13.9%
Michael Haidar 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 4.6% 8.1% 16.4% 59.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.