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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Charlotte Rose 3.8% 5.1% 5.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 5.6% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.8% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 4.9% 3.8%
Michelle Lahrkamp 12.0% 11.9% 10.4% 9.6% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 7.0% 5.9% 4.7% 4.3% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sophia Reineke 8.8% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 5.8% 7.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.1% 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.1%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 4.5% 4.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 7.9% 5.5%
Olivia de Olazarra 4.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.9% 5.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.8% 6.0%
Emma Kaneti 4.5% 5.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.7%
Abbie Carlson 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.1% 12.2% 23.8%
Dana Haig 5.0% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 5.2% 7.8% 6.6% 6.6% 5.9% 6.7% 5.2% 4.5%
Brooke Shachoy 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.2% 5.6% 6.2% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 5.3% 6.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 3.2%
Ellie Maus 2.9% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 9.2% 10.4% 14.6%
Gray Hemans 4.8% 5.9% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 7.1% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7%
Olivia Belda 6.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 3.6%
Carmen Cowles 10.7% 10.9% 10.3% 9.2% 8.7% 8.1% 6.9% 7.0% 5.2% 5.8% 4.2% 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.3%
Piper Holthus 7.7% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.1% 6.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.1% 5.1% 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.8% 2.5% 1.0%
Torrey Chisari 4.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.2% 5.9% 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 7.3% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%
Grace Squires 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.1% 5.9% 5.0% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 6.3%
Emily Bornarth 6.0% 5.8% 7.7% 5.8% 5.3% 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.9% 5.4% 4.1% 3.8% 2.1%
Madison Bashaw 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 5.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.