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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.97+8.63vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+6.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+5.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.08+4.30vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.25+5.95vs Predicted
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82.13+1.89vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+0.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+1.97vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-1.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-2.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-6.73vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-6.36vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.39vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.45-5.39vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-8.28vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Jacksonville University1.973.8%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University2.6112.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.348.8%1st Place
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10.45Tulane University2.214.5%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.164.2%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
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12.95Tufts University1.252.0%1st Place
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9.892.135.0%1st Place
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9.2Cornell University1.704.5%1st Place
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11.97Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College1.874.8%1st Place
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9.4Brown University2.296.2%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.4210.7%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.207.7%1st Place
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10.61University of Pennsylvania1.724.4%1st Place
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10.61College of Charleston1.453.8%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.0%1st Place
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charlotte Rose | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
Abbie Carlson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 23.8% |
Dana Haig | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
Brooke Shachoy | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% |
Gray Hemans | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Piper Holthus | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Torrey Chisari | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
Grace Squires | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
Emily Bornarth | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.