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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+9.37vs Predicted
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22.13+7.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+6.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+1.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+7.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+1.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87+1.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+0.30vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-3.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-3.69vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.25-1.26vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.56-3.54vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-8.48vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.21-6.88vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.45-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.37Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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9.742.135.0%1st Place
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9.53Jacksonville University1.973.8%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University2.6113.7%1st Place
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12.22Bowdoin College1.482.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.348.8%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.8%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College1.874.8%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University1.705.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.4211.6%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.3%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Naval Academy2.163.5%1st Place
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9.31Brown University2.295.8%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.251.9%1st Place
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11.46University of Pennsylvania1.563.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.207.1%1st Place
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10.12Tulane University2.214.9%1st Place
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10.58College of Charleston1.454.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 20.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.