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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.41vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+8.26vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+6.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42+1.34vs Predicted
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62.13+4.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+0.53vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+2.53vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-3.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-0.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.40vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.18vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-5.40vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.87-4.42vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-2.69vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.25-3.17vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.08-6.85vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.56-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Brown University2.295.1%1st Place
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10.26Tulane University2.214.8%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University1.974.7%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.163.5%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
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10.02.134.3%1st Place
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7.53Boston College2.347.3%1st Place
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10.53College of Charleston1.453.5%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University2.6113.5%1st Place
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9.07Cornell University1.705.3%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.9%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.3%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College1.874.9%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College1.482.5%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University1.252.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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11.29University of Pennsylvania1.563.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Grace Squires | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 20.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.