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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+9.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+4.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.62vs Predicted
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42.13+5.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+4.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+4.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+3.33vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-2.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-1.49vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.25-1.24vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.87-5.56vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.70-6.81vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.97-7.37vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.48-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28Tulane University2.214.3%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.4210.3%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.347.6%1st Place
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9.812.135.1%1st Place
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9.41Brown University2.294.4%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston1.454.2%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.083.9%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University2.6112.6%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.208.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Pennsylvania1.562.8%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.7%1st Place
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12.76Tufts University1.252.1%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College1.875.5%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University1.706.2%1st Place
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9.63Jacksonville University1.974.5%1st Place
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12.06Bowdoin College1.482.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 22.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.