← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+8.30vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.21+8.29vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.34+4.41vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+2.06vs Predicted
-
52.13+4.94vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.87+3.51vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.75vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.61-2.08vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.97+0.32vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.08+0.16vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.04vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.20-4.40vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.48-0.80vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston1.45-3.43vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.16-4.83vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.56-4.54vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.25-4.07vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.70-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.3Brown University2.295.5%1st Place
-
10.29Tulane University2.215.0%1st Place
-
7.41Boston College2.349.3%1st Place
-
6.06Yale University2.4211.9%1st Place
-
9.942.133.9%1st Place
-
9.51Dartmouth College1.874.5%1st Place
-
8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.8%1st Place
-
5.92Stanford University2.6111.8%1st Place
-
9.32Jacksonville University1.975.9%1st Place
-
10.16Harvard University2.084.3%1st Place
-
9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.8%1st Place
-
7.6Georgetown University2.206.9%1st Place
-
12.2Bowdoin College1.482.5%1st Place
-
10.57College of Charleston1.454.0%1st Place
-
10.17U. S. Naval Academy2.164.2%1st Place
-
11.46University of Pennsylvania1.563.4%1st Place
-
12.93Tufts University1.252.4%1st Place
-
9.44Cornell University1.704.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 21.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.