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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+4.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.38+2.82vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+2.47vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.26+3.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01-2.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.84vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.60+2.38vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.84+0.92vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.23-1.62vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.85+0.93vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.70+0.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-1.35vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.27-3.38vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.67-5.57vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.29SUNY Maritime College2.260.0%1st Place
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3.47Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.38Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.92Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland0.850.0%1st Place
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13.37Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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11.62William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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10.43Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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14.58Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wick Dudley | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 21.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Jun Yu Huang | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 13.8% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| Alex Wood | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Myers | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.