Race 9A

chesapeake-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mats Braaten 6.9% 8.1% 8.7% 9.6% 11.1% 12.3% 14.1% 14.5% 14.8%
Owen MacWilliams 22.4% 19.7% 17.2% 14.1% 9.4% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Joseph Marynowski 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.8% 10.0% 12.5% 13.3% 15.8% 16.5%
Benjamin Smith 12.3% 12.4% 13.6% 13.7% 13.5% 11.1% 11.5% 8.0% 4.0%
Leo Robillard 10.8% 12.2% 11.2% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8% 11.1% 9.6% 6.0%
Owen Kohut 22.4% 19.6% 17.6% 12.6% 12.8% 7.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Tyler Brown 8.6% 10.7% 11.1% 13.1% 12.6% 12.8% 13.2% 12.0% 6.0%
Olivia Gilmore 5.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 9.4% 10.9% 12.7% 18.6% 25.7%
Sam Schuhwerk 4.2% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 10.3% 14.4% 17.4% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.