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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.73vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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2.99Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 32.8% | 25.8% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 22.5% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 2.9% |
| Keely Scates | 12.2% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 10.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 29.4% | 29.4% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 23.5% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.