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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.65vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.72+1.34vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+1.43vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.15+0.37vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+0.35vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.66-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.02-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Fairfield University0.4218.2%1st Place
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3.34Bates College0.7222.1%1st Place
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4.43Salve Regina University0.9711.1%1st Place
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4.37Maine Maritime Academy0.1512.9%1st Place
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5.35Middlebury College-0.377.0%1st Place
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5.89Brandeis University-0.664.7%1st Place
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4.48University of Vermont-0.0212.7%1st Place
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4.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Jett Lindelof | 22.1% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 34.2% |
| William Denker | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| William Delong | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.