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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+4.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+5.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+5.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42+1.32vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+3.15vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.29vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.88-1.06vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.25+0.80vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.78-0.70vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-3.68vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.97-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.56-4.59vs Predicted
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172.13-7.23vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.21-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Stanford University2.6112.3%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
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7.38Boston College2.348.4%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.295.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.084.4%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College1.875.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.7%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.163.6%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University1.885.0%1st Place
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12.8Tufts University1.252.4%1st Place
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12.3Bowdoin College0.782.6%1st Place
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10.32College of Charleston1.454.8%1st Place
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9.17Jacksonville University1.975.3%1st Place
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11.41University of Pennsylvania1.563.0%1st Place
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9.772.135.4%1st Place
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9.99Tulane University2.214.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 22.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.