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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+7.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.92+6.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+6.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+2.52vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.22vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+4.51vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07+1.87vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-0.44vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.93vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.90-2.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.81-5.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.37-3.67vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.24vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.83-3.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Stanford University2.046.9%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.927.1%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University1.795.7%1st Place
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6.52Yale University2.5510.2%1st Place
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9.22Tulane University1.736.2%1st Place
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10.51Jacksonville University-1.384.5%1st Place
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8.95University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.075.1%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College2.106.5%1st Place
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7.41Boston College2.567.3%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.9%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University1.904.5%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.046.8%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston1.816.3%1st Place
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11.33Georgetown University1.373.1%1st Place
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.0%1st Place
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13.02Tufts University0.831.9%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Lilly Myers | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 23.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.