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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+5.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+6.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+8.65vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+5.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+6.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.63vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+2.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07+2.22vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.51vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-4.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.92-3.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-5.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-1.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.13vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.08-6.91vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-6.36vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.10-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University2.7110.8%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University1.905.7%1st Place
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11.65Georgetown University1.372.4%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University1.735.6%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.9%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy2.046.1%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston1.815.5%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.074.6%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.7%1st Place
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9.49University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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6.68Cornell University2.3810.9%1st Place
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8.61Brown University1.926.2%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.567.6%1st Place
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12.78Tufts University1.442.4%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.6%1st Place
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9.09Stanford University2.086.2%1st Place
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10.64Jacksonville University-1.383.3%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.106.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 20.4% |
| Emma Snead | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Emily Allen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Sarah Young | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.