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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+4.05vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+7.58vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+6.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+3.72vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.64+0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90+0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.90vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-1.53vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.37-0.26vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-6.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-5.27vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-3.95vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.73-6.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.44-4.04vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College2.568.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.7111.9%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.682.7%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.926.7%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.649.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.8%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston1.815.6%1st Place
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11.74Georgetown University1.373.0%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University2.389.4%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College2.105.3%1st Place
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11.05Jacksonville University-1.384.5%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University1.734.3%1st Place
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12.96Tufts University1.442.0%1st Place
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11.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Emma Snead | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 20.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.