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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+10.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+4.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+4.81vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.06vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.64+0.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.84vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07+2.32vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-1.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-2.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44+0.65vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-1.90vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.81-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.42vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.73-6.37vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-6.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.76Georgetown University1.372.6%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.7111.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy2.045.7%1st Place
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8.81Brown University1.925.5%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.389.6%1st Place
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6.64Stanford University2.6410.2%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.566.9%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.074.5%1st Place
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11.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.6%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University1.906.3%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College2.106.3%1st Place
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12.65Tufts University1.442.2%1st Place
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11.1Jacksonville University-1.383.9%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston1.815.2%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania1.775.0%1st Place
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9.63Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.3%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 21.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Emma Snead | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.