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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+9.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.96vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+2.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+1.50vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-1.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92-0.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.26vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37+0.72vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-5.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-2.01vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.73-4.43vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-5.61vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.88vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-6.72vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.44-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35Bowdoin College2.074.3%1st Place
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7.95Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University2.389.5%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania1.774.8%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College2.106.4%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University2.649.8%1st Place
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8.54Brown University1.925.7%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.6%1st Place
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11.72Georgetown University1.372.9%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.7111.8%1st Place
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10.99Jacksonville University-1.382.9%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston1.815.3%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.5%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.7%1st Place
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12.85Tufts University1.441.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Emma Snead | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.