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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+3.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71+0.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.54vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.21vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38+0.96vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-1.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.60vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-5.30vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.92-6.46vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.07-5.64vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.44-4.28vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Stanford University2.649.8%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania1.774.2%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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7.95Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University1.905.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.7111.5%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.683.9%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University1.735.4%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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10.96Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston1.815.7%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.2%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.106.4%1st Place
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8.54Brown University1.926.2%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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12.72Tufts University1.442.7%1st Place
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11.7Georgetown University1.372.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 19.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.