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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+5.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.98vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.64+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+3.53vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+2.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10+1.46vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07+2.10vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.37+2.56vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.08vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-1.53vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-1.12vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.39vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-7.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-7.53vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston0.96-4.41vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.83-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Cornell University2.389.4%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.7112.2%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University2.6410.5%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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8.53Brown University1.925.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University1.906.4%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.106.3%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College2.074.5%1st Place
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11.56Georgetown University1.372.5%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.0%1st Place
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9.47Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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10.88Jacksonville University-1.384.0%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.9%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
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7.74Boston College2.567.7%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.046.3%1st Place
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12.59College of Charleston0.962.6%1st Place
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13.23Tufts University0.832.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Young | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 17.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.