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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+4.19vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+4.37vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.37+6.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+5.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.53vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-1.06vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38+1.65vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-3.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.52vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-5.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.83-1.79vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.07-5.73vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston0.96-4.52vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Stanford University2.6410.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.7110.5%1st Place
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7.83Boston College2.567.6%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.926.2%1st Place
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11.48Georgetown University1.373.2%1st Place
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11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania1.774.7%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University2.389.2%1st Place
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10.65Jacksonville University-1.384.6%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.735.2%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.106.6%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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13.21Tufts University0.831.8%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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12.48College of Charleston0.962.6%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.683.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Allen | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 24.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.